It is very interesting, this bond issue. See reactions below…
Richard Tay Jun Hao states:
…the short summary is that I am not enthusiastic about the offering… My own personal opinion is that I really can’t see the point of taking on this extra credit risk for an extra 1% of interest a year… Given the stature of Singapore Airlines as our national airline and the pedigree of its largest shareholder (Temasek Holdings), I highly doubt that SIA will have problem refinancing its debt down the road.
Why I am going to avoid the upcoming SIA 5 Year 3.03% Retail Bond. (20 Mar 2019). http://theasiareport.com/why-i-am-going-to-avoid-the-upcoming-sia-5-year-3-03-retail-bond/. The Asia Report.
Kyith wrote this piece entitled Singapore Airlines SIA issues a Safe 5 Year 3.03% Retail Bond – My Take. (19 Mar 2019). http://investmentmoats.com/money/singapore-airlines-sia-5-year-3-03-retail-bond/. Investment Moats. He focused on operating cash flow before working capital and net operating cash flow, but not profit or free cash flow.
…2 bond issues are coming due in 2020 and 2021, and it might be the case this issue is used to refinance one of the loans expiring in 2020.
6 days prior, SIA have announced that they have set up a $2 billion medium term bond program, which will be used to refinance existing borrowings, finance investments and fixed assets and for general working capital purposes.
Their financial position looks strong enough to pay the coupon payment…
Additionally, we see a decline of coupon/interest rates for the current issue (3.03%). Arguably, this is wise on the part of SIA.
- August 2017 – ten year / 3.13% / $700 million
- October 2018 – five year / 3.16% / $600 million
SIA sets up $2b bond programme for senior unsecured debt. (14 Mar 2019). https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sia-sets-up-2b-bond-programme-for-senior-unsecured-debt. The Straits Times, Singapore.
References / Associated
[Highlighting the Transformation Office of SIA] “Singapore Airlines chief executive Goh Choon Phong received $4.32 million in total remuneration in the year ended March 31, 2018, from $5.02 million the previous year… Singapore Airlines (SIA) paid chief executive Goh Choon Phong 14 per cent less in fiscal 2018, reflecting lower bonuses for a lacklustre fiscal 2017 and lower valuations for his share-based compensation, according to the national carrier’s latest annual report.” Rachel Mui. (28 Jun 2018). Singapore Airlines CEO Goh Choon Phong saw pay drop 14% for last fiscal year. The Straits Times, Singapore.
“Singapore Airlines (SIA) has set up a new unit to review its entire business – a move that comes in the wake of its first quarterly loss in five years. The carrier, which lost $138 million in the three months to March 31, said yesterday that the review will include network and fleet planning, and products and services.” Karamjit Kaur. (19 May 2017). First quarterly loss for SIA in 5 years. The Straits Times, Singapore.
In the 2017 Annual General Meeting (AGM),
…SVP Stephen Barnes noted that staff costs increased about 5% from the previous year and explained it was due to staff headcount also increasing by 5%… The chairman added that although the management is conscious of managing its costs, it should never come at the expense of SIA’s service quality…
Adam Wong. (2 Aug 2017). 9 things I learned from the 2017 Singapore Airlines AGM. The Fith Person.
[Regarding Tay Jun Hao] Heritage Global Capital Fund. https://www.swissasia-group.com/funds/heritage-global-capital-fund-cap-intro/. Swiss-Asia Group.
https://chenweilun2014.wordpress.com/2019/01/09/valuing-bonds-creditworthiness/
https://chenweilun2014.wordpress.com/2016/03/20/bonds-again/